Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.030201 0.032452 0.034802 0.037443 0.040331 0.043398 0.046908
2025-06-08 0.026086 0.029220 0.032662 0.036737 0.041446 0.046738 0.053164
2025-06-15 0.023464 0.027108 0.031264 0.036384 0.042559 0.049815 0.059058
2025-06-22 0.021520 0.025482 0.030141 0.036067 0.043471 0.052501 0.064480
2025-06-29 0.019803 0.023930 0.028905 0.035407 0.043776 0.054313 0.068793
2025-07-06 0.018851 0.023208 0.028585 0.035791 0.045328 0.057707 0.075304
2025-07-13 0.017877 0.022371 0.028029 0.035784 0.046308 0.060346 0.080926
2025-07-20 0.017195 0.021849 0.027823 0.036185 0.047808 0.063725 0.087775
2025-07-27 0.016358 0.021064 0.027207 0.035968 0.048406 0.065846 0.092926
2025-08-03 0.015600 0.020337 0.026615 0.035726 0.048921 0.067840 0.097987
2025-08-10 0.014922 0.019677 0.026071 0.035503 0.049422 0.069807 0.103112
2025-08-17 0.014351 0.019131 0.025650 0.035418 0.050096 0.072043 0.108792
2025-08-24 0.013680 0.018420 0.024968 0.034921 0.050135 0.073327 0.113071
2025-08-31 0.013014 0.017687 0.024217 0.034280 0.049906 0.074166 0.116664
2025-09-07 0.012493 0.017136 0.023702 0.033958 0.050139 0.075732 0.121584
2025-09-14 0.012019 0.016632 0.023228 0.033666 0.050393 0.077327 0.126656
2025-09-21 0.011491 0.016025 0.022575 0.033060 0.050095 0.077974 0.130062
2025-09-28 0.011254 0.015839 0.022539 0.033413 0.051370 0.081332 0.138667
2025-10-05 0.010939 0.015521 0.022288 0.033407 0.052041 0.083683 0.145577
2025-10-12 0.010736 0.015364 0.022274 0.033775 0.053357 0.087234 0.155083
2025-10-19 0.010407 0.015001 0.021925 0.033576 0.053679 0.089021 0.161264
2025-10-26 0.010092 0.014647 0.021573 0.033353 0.053943 0.090711 0.167378
2025-11-02 0.009797 0.014314 0.021243 0.033148 0.054222 0.092432 0.173697